May 13 2026
Management

5 Ways K–12 IT Leaders Can Prepare for Enrollment Declines

Cost fluctuations add to the complexities of the K–12 technology funding landscape. Edtech leaders offer advice to sustain essential tools in the face of so many unknowns.

The National Center for Education Statistics projects that about 40 states will see K–12 enrollment declines between 2022 and 2031, with total enrollment projected to decrease by 5% in that period. For IT leaders, such dramatic shifts mean tighter per-pupil funding, potential school consolidations and difficult infrastructure decisions. 

Three K–12 educational technology leaders shared five tips on how to approach planning and get more from every classroom technology dollar spent. Their insights serve as a strong starting point for conversations with building and district leadership, financial teams, school boards and other community stakeholders to ensure student technology needs come first.

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1. Be Proactive

Asked how projected student population declines may affect support for educational technology funding, Adam Phyall III, director of professional learning and leadership at All4Ed, quoted longtime K–12 technology director Donna Williamson: “This train is coming, but we’ve got to get in front of it and call it a parade.” 

“My first piece of advice for technology directors is to get ahead of this,” Phyall says. “Enrollments are tightening, and the national viewpoint on edtech and technology is in flux right now. To be able to read that and act proactively rather than reactively on deployment of our devices and related needs, we have to lead with our kids.”

2. Tie Technology Tightly to Student Success

“If projects aren’t directly tied to our achievements or student success, then we can put them on the chopping block,” Phyall adds. “If we do need it, then we have to look at tightening the budgets on the things that sit furthest away from student achievement and success.”

Time-strapped teams can turn to artificial intelligence (AI) to quickly make sense of the numbers, Phyall also advises, and gain a better understanding of which tools are working and how they can be tied directly to student outcomes.

“We need to be able to tell the story of what we’re doing with what we have, and how detrimental budget cuts would be to our efficiency,” he says. “I never told my superintendent, ‘No, we can't do this.’ Instead, I always gave him options and let him know what the consequences would be — good, bad, indifferent — based on my best research. If you don’t do that, then people find a way at the end of the day to say you need to do more with less.”

3. Wherever, Whenever Possible: Plan Ahead

In many K–12 districts, navigating ever-changing numbers of students and forecasting educational technology funding in the face of uncertainty is simply a way of life.

Jeremy Owoh, superintendent of Jacksonville North Pulaski School District, sees wide fluctuations of student numbers year to year as a result of school choice. When his district was carved out of an existing public school district 10 years ago, leadership backed a tax millage increase to cover the construction of new buildings, a competitive schedule for teacher and administrative salaries, and a consistently dedicated amount to fund technology. As soon as the new buildings opened, district leaders also saw an opportunity to enact a technology refresh plan, setting the wheels in motion for technology budget support for regular refresh cycles.

“In this current state, with the fluctuation of funds at the federal and state levels, and even at the local level because of students who come and go as a result of school choice, we continue to plan strategically around how we’ll move our district forward by providing innovative technology, innovative instruction, teaching and learning for students, and professional development for our staff members,” Owoh explains. “We have been planning this shift for almost two or three years because we saw how the landscape was changing.”

As generative AI and other technologies evolve, early work with ISTE leaders helped the district build a foundation and infrastructure capacity to innovate and ensure Jacksonville North Pulaski wouldn’t be left behind. Owoh and teams of district educators, including teachers, counselors, assistant principals and the assistant superintendent, all attend ISTE + ASCD conferences together to learn as a team. This powers ongoing conversations on how “to build the right instructional setting and curriculum for our staff, so they can in turn build the right environment at the school level, in the classroom level,” Owoh says.

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4. Build Partnerships

In Missouri, one of the states that’s predicted to see student enrollment declines, St. Louis’s Ladue School District has actually seen enrollment grow over the past few years, says Patricia Brown, director of technology. But that doesn't make it easier to plan and secure funding for educational technology.

The one-to-one district leases iPad devices for K–8 students and MacBook laptops for students in grades 9 through 12.

Throughout the past two years, the district saw significant swings in enrollment and had to quickly order more devices midway through the school year. “When those things come up, it’s hard to figure out the best method for projecting enrollment. Thankfully, we have an amazing CFO, who does a really good job of helping us to understand our budgets,” Brown says. “I think that’s one thing that people struggle with: not understanding your budgets, what you can purchase and the parameters around it, and being creative in how you utilize those resources.”

In her four-year tenure, Brown has overseen upgrades of the district’s switches, phone lines, audiovisual and technology devices, and classroom materials — improvements that hadn’t been completed in a decade. “Working with our CFO, our facilities and business board advisory, which consists of parents and board members, we worked together to look at what needs to be done, and we prioritized those things, just as you would plan for a new roof or a new HVAC,” Brown says. “But that was new for our district when I arrived. Now that we partner with our facilities and perform more long-term planning, creating refresh cycles and plans that align to our bigger capital purchases, I think that's going to help us be more successful.

“Previously, we tried to do that independently, and it was really hard to get people to understand the value of things they can't see — networking, internet — but that are crucial to the operations and the workings of our district,” Brown adds. “When you’re able to partner with your facilities and business office, you can get more support.”

5. Ask for (More) Help

Both Brown and Owoh’s districts have turned to grants and technology partner pilot programs to underwrite some of the costs associated with innovation. In Brown’s case, the Ladue district won a grant from the Department of Homeland Security, administered through the state, to complete necessary upgrades and prevent an increase in cost for the district's cybersecurity insurance policy. 

Jacksonville North Pulaski recently piloted a generative AI platform purpose-built for education users. Such programs provide “an opportunity to test out what’s most impactful in our instructional settings without allocating federal, state or local funds,” Owoh says. “We’ve been able to strategically budget and decide on where we get the most bang for our buck, alongside grant writing, piloting, working with vendors and a lot of co-op purchasing with other school districts.”

Where possible, renegotiate and rightsize contract terms to ensure the school or district continues to pay for technology that’s actually in use, determined by IT and asset trackers such as Lightspeed Systems. Always inquire about the availability of grants or reduced rates for public schools or nonprofit organizations — and above all, understand exactly what the district is paying for.

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